The Florida Gators and LSU Tigers equally come with announcement successes into this Saturdays match.
LSU moved to Texas and beat against the Longhorns in week 2. The Gators stifled then-No. 7 Auburn at the Swamp weekend. But in this weeks matchup in Death Valley, both teams look to take a spot in the race over into College Football Playoff.
The defense of florida leads the way for them. They have given that the 8th-fewest offensive touchdowns (5), and also havent given up a stage from the 4th quarter since their opener. Auburn QB Bo Nix flustered as he went 11 for 27 with three INTs into making bad decisions that were several a week.
But Joe Burrow isnt Nix. He is a seasoned quarterback and has led LSU to the best start in SEC history. Theyve averaged 54.6 points-per-game, the maximum in college soccer. This contains the 45 they dropped on the street on Texas.
Together with the roar of all Death Valley anticipating , the Gators come in as underdogs on BetNow. Does the No. 5 shield keep this near and cover the spread? Or will Burrow and also the No. 2 passing crime keep rolling and win the wager? Here is the breakdown.
There is very little uncertainty in Burrows ability . He has transformed to a Heisman candidate, acquiring an immaculate 22/3 TD/INT ratio and 11.5 yards-per-attempt (3rd in the FBS).
Hes also working with one of the best getting teams in the country. The trio of JaMarr Chase, Justin Jefferson, along with Terrace Marshall Jr. have combined for 19 touchdowns along with 73 receptions, together with averages above 15 YPC for these three.
Jefferson has good length with his 63 frame and has mastered in some big games. Chase is an actual existence on the other side. Marshall Jr. will sit out until November with a foot injury, however, Derrick Dillon is a seasoned target that will fill the place. It is all part of a passing game that has Burrow at a 78.4% completion percentage.
They will face by far the roughest DB unit theyve played with throughout the year. Northwestern State is an FCS group, but here would be the yards-per-attempt composed by the additional competitions of LSU: Texas 124th Georgia Southern 111th, Vanderbilt 128th, and Utah State 103rd.
Florida now sits at 33rd, although its safe to say theyve yet to play a QB of Burrows caliber. Theyve played with two FCS QBs, a true freshman (Nix), a redshirt freshman making his first start (Jarren Williams, Miami), and Still, C.J. Henderson had been preseason All-American whos living up to his own billing. Shawn Davis generates a huge amount of havoc in the secondary (111 metres on three INTs). Marco Wilson is somewhat on spot, but nevertheless has a high ceiling.
Burrow will even confront a, which will be completely healthy for the first time because their 10 sacks versus Miami on the opening week. Jabari Zuniga, believed to function as coming into this year, is coming back from injury. With him on both side along with Jonathan Greenard (4.0 sacks/6.5 TKFL) around the other, LSUs 63rd-ranked sack rate on their o-line is going to be analyzed.
Ever since Kyle Trask replaced Feleipe Franks (ankle injury) as Floridas quarterback, the Gators have outscored opponents 115-16.
He has to get flustered with an opposing lineup while his consciousness must enhance in the pocket. Auburns according is possibly the best in the country, and ranks 11th in line yards to Football Outsiders.
LSU is ranked 31st at LY and will be 85th in bag rate. Theyll rely on blitzing LBs to help throw Trask his game off. Even the Florida QB is convinced in the pocket but is not mobile out of it. He also sprained a knee in the last match and wore a leg brace when he reentered the game.
With the LBs involved from the pass-rush, All-American safety Grant Delpit should come up big in coverage. He probably will face off against a matchup nightmare in Florida TE Kyle Pitts (25 receptions). Neutralizing Pitts (65-240lbs, 4.6 40-yard dashboard ) is critical to LSUs success on D.
LSU–such as Floridas secondary–is regarded as DBU for the talent they possess on their defenses outside. Derek Stingley Jr. is continuing this heritage with performances that should land him on the All-Freshman team, or even more, in 2019.
Will probably soon be out of returning FBS corners Kristian Fulton, that let the smallest sum of first downs. Though this group is presently in passing yards allowed per-game 69th, itll be given an opportunity against a driven Trask.
Balance will be crucial as ever for Florida, who has not got their running game this season going. Lamical Perine broke a tackle at the point on his approach . Despite this, the Florida o-line rankings 113th based on yards and also will be going up from the No. 1 d-line concerning energy success (short-yardage situations).
Even though the LSU front might not be powerful. But Florida only compiles 3.66 YPA on the floor, and that is like Perines long term and a 76-yard receiver sweep which shut out the Kentucky match.
If they dont get Perine or Dameon Pierce going frequently, it puts a lot of stress on Trask at a hostile atmosphere.
Florida has earned respect from the college football world following week. And while I dont expect them to come out from Death Valley with a win against LSU, I do see this sport remaining than most.
LSUs offense made strides, also Burrow is one of the more smart QBs in the FBS. However, LSU isnt going to put up 45 or something close to that against a defense whos proven at all three levels. Their pass-rush has completely developed with Greenard wreaking havoc.
As the group has relied on them the Gators defense will probably wear out with time. Marco Wilson is going to be the topic to a PIs against Jefferson or the Chase.
But I do not expect this. Keeping the match in a lot of a slog till afterward makes Florida the bet on Saturday.
Prediction: LSU (30) — Florida (20)
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